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Originally posted by Serge_Oprano@Sep 9 2003, 06:49 AM getting closer and closer....
I became the first person in South Florida to pick up some hurricane supplies yesterday. Figured I didn't want to be @ Home Depot waiting in a 188 person line to get the last role of tape and pack of batteries. Just in case. ;-)
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Originally posted by dantheman@Sep 9 2003, 07:21 AM guess I'll wait a week or so before I head down
Come on down,
We can hang out at Serge's house during the storm.
I know his passcode for his alarm system, we'll have
a hurricane party, and he will never even know it was
us that wrecked his house due to the destruction of
of the storm.
They say that it will be a bad season for them. I believe it.
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Originally posted by Serge_Oprano@Sep 8 2003, 05:12 AM I missed
"Our delicious sautéed zucchini flowers with ricotta cheese and a delicate pesto" http://www.nabucco.it/menueng.htm
Oh yum. I grow lots of zucchini and love to cook the flowers. We always fried them but this sound really yummy.
Pumpkin flowers are good too. Have you ever had fiddle heads? They are the new beginnings of those ferns that grow wild in the woods. They look like a boston fern. When the frost leaves you go out and pick them just as they are coming up. Timing is important.
Then sautee in garlic, butter and olive oil. Sometimes I'll sprinkle a little feta.
Damn I'm hungry. You can buy them frozen but it's not the same.
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Originally posted by Serge_Oprano@Sep 9 2003, 08:41 AM DV, you can feed me at ANY time!
;-))))
well Serge we're clearing land, meeting with Zoning and Planning for the cabins today, by oct will be digging out the gardens and growing a bunch of stuff. I'll keep you posted once I know when flowers are coming up. I eat a lot of exotic things I can find in the woods. I have some land in MO, in the Ozarks and can make a whole meal down there; fresh creek crawdads, wild greens and garlic, mushrooms... hmm and don't forget the fish. Just bring olive oil, balsalmic, spices, bread crumbs.
I'm going to Panama in Nov to look at land in the Bocas. I'm not sure what th hell to eat on a remote island other then seafood.
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Originally posted by Serge_Oprano+Sep 9 2003, 09:49 AM-->
QUOTE (Serge_Oprano @ Sep 9 2003, 09:49 AM)
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I heard last night that it might be moving back out to see. Is this true or are we still in a bad position for this baby? Even though I am in Central, we still get some ugly shit from these storms, and occassionally, get hit. Just curious as to if I should be at Home Depot myself!!
Originally posted by Kittyfuzz@Sep 10 2003, 10:25 AM I heard last night that it might be moving back out to see. Is this true or are we still in a bad position for this baby? Even though I am in Central, we still get some ugly shit from these storms, and occassionally, get hit. Just curious as to if I should be at Home Depot myself!!
No one knows. Anyone that says so is guessing. Average error in a National Hurricane center prediction for 5 days is about 200 miles [correction: 400 miles] This storm is still more than a week from the SE US coast.
There are certainly some conditions that are leading to a POSSIBLE Florida landfall. One of the long-term computer models brings Isabel into SE Florida and then North towards Orlando. That being said, such predictions are very premature and there is a whole lot of "If this happens .. if that happens" conditions first. This is why the National Hurricane Center doesn't make predictions past 5 days. Way too much error in the models that far out.
If you are in central florida, there's no point in getting any supplies until someone says to. I used to live in Orlando. The runs on supplies inland aren't too bad.
Last edited by Colin at Sep 11 2003, 04:23 AM
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Yup. Note there have been hardly any hurricanes located where Isabel currently is that have gone on to impact the US. However, if Isabel follows the predicted track it will be exactly where Andrew was on August 20, 1992.
It doesn't seem like there is much of a chance of Isabel drifting too far off that path in the next few days as there is a strong high pressure to her North that is getting stronger and blocking movement to the North.
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Originally posted by Forest@Sep 10 2003, 09:14 AM But im not worried...
It will go east or west with the upper level winds over the florida straits
almost always does
I was in the keys for andrew...
we got almost nothin and homstead (130 miles away) got leveled
Sure, one storm and so many miles of coast. Any storm will only dramatically impact a small area. If you're in it, it's the worst possible situation. If you're outside it, it seems like you are always being missed.
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Maybe I better go pull my stuff (RV) out of Key Largo? There been a lot of storms, even Andrew that hit Florida but sweep right around the Keys.
I'm an hour East of Fort Myers. If it whips around up into the Gulf it's got to make a pretty sharp turn inland but I've seen them sweep right up the coast.
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Originally posted by Colin@Sep 10 2003, 01:12 PM Looks to me that Isabel will be a bit stronger in the next advisory in a few hours. Maybe 140+ mph.
Nailed it. I guess I should retire at 1 for 1.
"Maximum sustained winds are now near 140 mph."
"These intensity estimates easily justify increasing the intensity to 120 kt for this advisory. It is quite possible that Isabel is a little stronger than the advisory intensity indicates"
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Most of the computer models have Isabel East of the Bahamas and at a latitude even with South Florida 5 days from now. 5 days is the maximum time these models are reasonable.
At about 5 days, at the edge of the model guidance, a ridge of high pressure is expected to develop over the western Atlantic. Will it block Isabel from moving North? Recon will fly in and around the storm for the first time in the next 24 hours and more data will improve forecast.
Much error in 5 day forecasts but I suspect Isabel will not directly hit South Florida.
Last edited by Colin at Sep 11 2003, 04:27 AM
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Originally posted by Colin@Sep 11 2003, 04:07 AM We're at a crucial point here.
Most of the computer models have Isabel East of the Bahamas and at a latitude even with South Florida 5 days from now. 5 days is the maximum time these models are reasonable.
At about 5 days, at the edge of the model guidance, a ridge of high pressure is expected to develop over the western Atlantic. Will it block Isabel from moving North? Recon will fly in and around the storm for the first time in the next 24 hours and more data will improve forecast.
Much error in 5 day forecasts but I suspect Isabel will not directly hit South Florida.
I think we'll see 150+ in the next advisory. Getting close to category 5.
If you look at these infrared photos, you'll see the increased symmetry of the high cloud tops (red circle) around the eye. This means Isabel is strengthening. Pics taken about 6 hours apart.
[6 hours ago]
[Now]
Last edited by Colin at Sep 11 2003, 07:04 AM
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One big reason for me to move from the East Coast to Az -- my last year in NC we got popped 3 times, though none too badly, with hurricanes, and that was about par for the course.
We have no earthquakes, no tornadoes, no hurricanes, no mosquitoes and God knows no humidity in Phoenix
As soon as the 'big one' splits Cali off and its a floating island, we'll have beachfront property here too, beat that!
Originally posted by *KK*@Sep 11 2003, 02:06 PM We have no earthquakes, no tornadoes, no hurricanes, no mosquitoes and God knows no humidity in Phoenix
Originally posted by *KK*@Sep 11 2003, 01:06 PM One big reason for me to move from the East Coast to Az -- my last year in NC we got popped 3 times, though none too badly, with hurricanes, and that was about par for the course.
We have no earthquakes, no tornadoes, no hurricanes, no mosquitoes and God knows no humidity in Phoenix
As soon as the 'big one' splits Cali off and its a floating island, we'll have beachfront property here too, beat that!
You're too funny. Cute.
AZ also doesn't have much water, not enough trees and everyone knows all the hot chicks are in CA and FLA.
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09-07-2003
) named Isabella. Coincidence? I don't THINK so! You're doomed. :P 
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