Any predictions for 2009?

[RawAlex]

Tubes and torrents are an issue. Pre-checked cross sales are another.

The PCCS are most obviously the worst because they are a negative against using credit cards. They burn the people willing to pay for porn, and they burn people willing to use their credit cards online, which is a pretty damn small number as it is. IMHO, the PCCS are something that the industry as a whole should have control over, but we do not.

The TTFS (Tubes Torrents and File Sharers) are more of a problem like rust or soil erosion. It isn't directly a negative to our business specifically, but if not carefully monitors and tended, it can do a lot of harm. The biggest harm in my mind comes from Google SERPs. Example, searching for the Cumfiesta episode featuring celeste:

http://www.google.ca/search?hl=en&sa...G=Search&meta=

Out of the top 10, 7 or 8 are either free forums, file sharing, torrents, or tubes. Probably 90% of the potential searchers will never be sent anywhere near a credit card screen for this material.

What is worse is that this is fixable problem. Google accepts DMCA notices. The owners of the material just have to go do some simple searches, make a list of sites, and send the notices. The net result would be more search traffic going to their sites (or at least to affiliate sites) and less going to theives.

Like I said, it's an erosion, it takes away the underlying support, until one day the surface snaps.