"Only lie about the future."

[Paul Markham]

This is my predictions for the future.

Those who have something truly saleable and unique that can't be produced for $400 to $2000 a scene by anyone with a camcorder will survive. They will need to protect it from the Tube sites.

Also those who offer the surfer what he wants at a price he is willing to pay for the product will also survive. There are problems with Tube sites, like speed and quality, and I believe some surfers are prepared to pay for the service and convenience if not the product.

Those with content that appeals to the mass general unsophisticated market will lose out to Tube sites.

Those who think the surfer is a never ending stream of clueless fools who will buy what ever they are thrown at are already learning their errors.