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Old 09-10-2003   #20
Almighty Colin
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Originally posted by Kittyfuzz@Sep 10 2003, 10:25 AM
I heard last night that it might be moving back out to see. Is this true or are we still in a bad position for this baby? Even though I am in Central, we still get some ugly shit from these storms, and occassionally, get hit. Just curious as to if I should be at Home Depot myself!!
No one knows. Anyone that says so is guessing. Average error in a National Hurricane center prediction for 5 days is about 200 miles [correction: 400 miles] This storm is still more than a week from the SE US coast.

There are certainly some conditions that are leading to a POSSIBLE Florida landfall. One of the long-term computer models brings Isabel into SE Florida and then North towards Orlando. That being said, such predictions are very premature and there is a whole lot of "If this happens .. if that happens" conditions first. This is why the National Hurricane Center doesn't make predictions past 5 days. Way too much error in the models that far out.

If you are in central florida, there's no point in getting any supplies until someone says to. I used to live in Orlando. The runs on supplies inland aren't too bad.



Last edited by Colin at Sep 11 2003, 04:23 AM
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