Bush Will Not Get A Second Term :(

Originally posted by Mutt@Nov 6 2002, 12:42 PM
Look at the Democrats, do you see ANYBODY with a bright future? Everybody knew Bill Clinton was a rising star, he only took a little step backwards when he made a long winded keynote speech at the Democratic National convention which was supposed to be Bill Clinton's national coming out party.

I dont' follow the poltical scene as closely as i once did but I don't know of any Democratic star waiting to happen like Clinton was.

i think 2 years is PLENTY of time to "create" a bright and rising star. There are plenty of potentials. its just a question of marketing. Its not a question of if there is anyone. They have to create someone. Its about survival.

i think that the "war on terrorism" will only effect the election outcome to the extent of the timing of Iraq/results and how long they can milk it. If it happens now, its political value will not be very much come election time. However, backing off, showing constraint and a willingness to compromise.. then creating a situation where they know Saddam will fuck it up and they can walk in and clean house 2-3 months before elections is a more likely scenario.

other than that, there is no "war on terrorism" politically. its gone. its done. its old news and people are changing the channel. its theatrical value in the political arena has been stretched thin and played out.

Bin Laden is dead. everyone else is just a nameless face behind an AK-47. Arrest a few people here and there and it wont matter. its old news and boring. Blow some shit up however and people get interested. How many people noticed or cared about an unmanned drone taking out some top Al Queda members? how many will remember it tomorrow? none.

Bushs father went from 90% approval rating to non-existent in just a couple months after the Gulf War. So timing will be everything. Either it has to happen soon, or it has to happen right before the elections. Just like the vote on the resolution to go to war had to happen right before they took a break.

Other than that, the Democrats have been really making an ass out of themselves non-stop trying to bring down Bush, since Bush was elected. They have had some good ammo but they come of desperate and panicky and still lack focus, leadership and a game plan. The public is responding to that. Talk radio is having the time of its life picking them apart. Bush still has good approval ratings when they should in reality, be marginal.

Al Gore is the more prominent Democrat in terms of possible Presidential candidate but i think he cant go the distance a second time and i dont even think he will get the nomination. His political life has peaked. i think he is done.

other than that, it would take something really massive and out of the ordinary to help Bush like another super terror attack. i dont think anything else will help.