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Old 11-06-2002   #1
-= JR =-
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i want to be the first to officially go on record to predict that Bush will not get a simple term simply because of the domination of Republicans in government today.

the law of averages will always apply in a two party system. thats the whole point of its design and function... that both sides exist to balance that of the other. voters will respond in the next election by electing a Democrat as the next President of the United States to put the system back in balance. Just as voters responded to Clintons election by overwhelmingly giving the House and Senate to Republicans.

this may not happen however IF:

1) he pulls off some phenominal success story in Iraq (i.e. WELL TIMED "liberation of the people", footage of him kissing Iraqi babies in the street etc) or some other major 9/11 type catastrophe happens that will put him in the spotlight again as a strong leader.

or

2) the democrats continue to fuck up at every turn as they have since Bush was elected. But now the odds will weigh heavily in their favor. Unless the send another 2 congressmen to Libya to praise Khadaffi as they did with Saddam... or something else remarkably stupid (which cannot be discounted at this point in time).

3) they cant find a better choice than Al Gore. (he may pull it off however under the circumstances. its never the truth that matters... its what people want to believe that matters) Anyone that is smart enough to invent the Internet, may have a couple tricks up their sleeve.

otherwise, the system itself will not allow Bush to win. a single party being held 100% responsible for all the ills of the planet by the opposing party, media and world at large ... cannot survive two terms and the system will adjust itself.

anyone want to take bets on whether or not Bush gets a second term??
i say that the odds are strongly against it.
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