It does not matter whether it is Bush or Kerry in there as regards a draft.
If we get into another conflict that requires large numbers of troops and they can't get enough volunteers then there will be a draft.
18 year olds are still required to register for the draft, that has never stopped. That guarantees that if we need to raise a large number of troops quickly, we can.
I really do not think there is any more or less likelihood of a draft based on which party is in control of the White House. During Vietnam, we had drafts during Democratic administartions and Republican administrations, didn't matter much.
Since I personally think that we will have active troops in Iraq for at least 10 years and the likelihood of another large conflict is (imho) pretty fucking high during the next 10 years, I would predict that there will be draft in that time.
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