Quote:
Originally posted by JR@Oct 18 2004, 08:47 AM
I would guess right now that I would have been wrong. But in my defense, I don't think that anyone can argue that Democrats have done a very good job at campaigning against Bush or even in putting forth someone who could obviously win. Bush has handed them everything on a silver platter since day 1 from Enron (and similar scandals) to 100's of 1000's of jobs lost, Patriot Act, talking to God, lying to the US and UN about the reasons for invading Iraq, to isolating the US from most of the rest of the world and so on.... and so on.
Usually the incumbant is touting his sucesses and the other is presenting his vision for the future. Both are doing little of either. I am American and i am not sure what Kerrys vision is... although, I have not been watching with much interest or enthusiasm. But the simple fact that I don't really know, tells me something about Kerry. I remember clearly Clintons original platform and I am not sure what Kerrys is. It's almost like the general message from Kerry in all this mud slinging is "vote for me because i will probably fuck up less"
There is not much more Bush could have done to give ammo to the opposition and unless someone discovers he has been strangling underage prostitutes and burrying them in the Rose Garden... this race is going to be embarrasingly close and Bush will probably win.
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If any competant Dem was running against Bush he would be losing.
What happened was Howard Dean was doing so well, the Dem party leaders were freaking out - they knew Dean would lead to a landslide Bush win. So in their haste, they turned to Kerry, and basicly took Dean out by the knees. ( The I have a "scream" speach was rebroadcased on CNN and other liberal networks more then Fox and others).
In their haste, the Dems ran to a Mass. liberal, with a poor record in the Senate. This is why they had to focus on Vietnam and such during convention.
In modern times, it is hard for a yankee liberal Senator to win the Presidency, evne when he pretends to be a moderate.
In recent times, only Southern Democrats ( who are not Senators) who are run as conservatives win. ( Carter, Clinton)
Kerry has 3 strikes against him.
1) Northerner
2) Senator
3) Liberal ( though he is running from this pretty fast, he does not like "labels")
Bush will win because the Democratic party is more inept then the Rep party.