I don't know but I'm tempted to say Kerry based on my guess that the Democratic majority is more likely to vote this time around due to their downright hatred of George Bush. However Kerry hasn't even chosen a running mate yet which could help or hurt, we haven't had the conventions yet, we haven't had a debate yet, the economy has improved and Nader is in the election and there are the Iraq and the Afghan situations.
In short, I really have no idea. There is more that says "close one" than "this guy will win". The big question is whether Democrats will go to the polls.
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