Quote:
Originally posted by sarettah@Sep 16 2003, 06:12 AM
After looking at this today, I have to revise what I said yesterday. I now think it will probably miss Hatteras at this point (skirt it closely, but not a direct hit)... It has started a much more marked turn to the North..... Next stop Long Island....
|
Maybe so. The average error in a 3 day forecast is about 250 miles. By tomorrow this time the average error to landfall will be under 150 miles.
Any small deviation in the path willl change the landfall location greatly. Just 10 degrees to the right and it will be in Jersey.