View Single Post
Old 07-03-2003   #43
wig
Members
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,248
Default

Quote:
Originally posted by Colin@Jul 3 2003, 01:08 PM
If they are dependent then how many "cycles" would one need to see in order to

1. determine such a pattern even really exists?
2. reach any given degree of accuracy with a prediction?

Good question. For me, I can say that after 17 years of looking at futures markets, the repitition of cycles, although dynamic, is too repititious to be coincidence. It is just my opinion.

Also, it is a way to ascertain probabilities, not certainties.
wig is offline   Reply With Quote