Quote:
Originally posted by wig@Jul 3 2003, 12:55 PM
And what if it is not and independent event?
What if it is part of a natural ebb and flow of human psychology, all flowing in a dynamic, cyclical way?
|
Yes, what if?
If such events are independent then the average distance between events doesn't matter.
If they are dependent then how many "cycles" would one need to see in order to
1. determine such a pattern even really exists?
2. reach any given degree of accuracy with a prediction?
Just hazarding a guess but I would think 10 "cycles" including depressions would still leave way too much error and at the current rate that would take 1000 years.