Quote:
Originally posted by Colin@Jul 3 2003, 12:40 PM
Does a lack of a depression in one decade increase the probability of a depression in the next. There's no data for that.
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I agree, but this is not my contention. My contention is that cyclically, there is a synergistic alignment of dates that should usher in change.
Observing the structure of the market on a large time frame and applying these cycles, I am anticipating a MAJOR low in equities and I have several dates in the next few years that I am watching.
IMO, the degree that we are at is beyond what we have seen in our lifetime.
We both could be just as easily wrong or right.
I am not doing anything with the information but observing because it is outside of my time frames.