Alex,
I'm not trying to compare day-to-day. I think that was you when you stated "repeat almost to the day". The question is whether there is much of a comparison at all between Bush I and Bush II other than DNA and fought a war in Iraq. I don't find there to be a strong similarity.
How will Bush be judged?
So far, Bush is a two-war president, a crisis president and created the Office of Homeland Defense. His two big campaign promises were the education bill and tax cuts which he's already pushed through unlike his father who broke his campaign promise and was haunted by his "no new taxes" pledge. Bush is also a strong president, more a leader than a compromiser.
After Gulf War I, Bush I seemed to be tired. Bush II is travelling, pushing his stimulus package and on television every day. He seems energetic and vibrant.
I think it's a little over halfway through his presidency. The economy is stagnant. Which way will it go? How will people perceive that? What other world events will happen?
A presidential race is just that, a race. To answer the question of whether Bush will be a two-term president is greatly influenced by who he runs against and what kind of campaign they run. Who will Bush running against? What kind of campaign will they run? Will there be a
Bill Clinton? Will there be a James Carville? Will they outdo Karl Rove?
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