Quote:
Originally posted by Torone@Apr 3 2003, 06:09 AM
3.5% isn't a very high rate.
|
1918 flu was 2.5% mortality rate and killed 20-100 million people. Range is wide because many countries didn't participate in sharing such numbers. 3.5% is high when it spreads like the common cold. Some of those that have it will still die so the rate is actually higher.
4% a day isn't a very high rate but what if there is a "tipping poinr"? You can't quarantine everyone.
I'm placing NO BETS but this is precisely the kind of virus one would worry about. I don't know about you but if 1 in 30 people that contracted the common cold last year died, I would know someone that died from it.
Oh, yeah. 1918 flu started fast, then waned, then came back with a vengeance the next fall.
Oh, yeah. Don't compare everything to the 1918 flu. It's not.