Quote:
Originally posted by -= JR =-@Mar 24 2003, 04:05 AM
Before Alex comes along to warn again of massive bloodshed, the impending implosion of the Islamic world into war and Middle East in to Anarchy and violence as the result of what may be "the bloodiest war in 50 years"
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Sounds like the Middle East to me. I don't think that will change. We may be delaying the inevitable. Someday a nuke will hit Tel Aviv.
"Peace in the Middle East" is a dream that will not happen. How can there be peace when every country in the region has leaders that have promised the destruction of Israel? No one WANTS peace - as JR has pointed out many times before. You have guys like Arafat that say they want "peace with Israel" and then make speeches saying the only possible outcome must be the eventual destruction of Israel. Arafat has been well-supported by regional nations, especially Iraq.
Best hope is to keep actively tilting the power structure in The Middle East weakening and strengthening countries so they fight each other but never decisively .. unless we succumb to the Arab doctrine that Israel must and will be destroyed.
The next 50 years probably will be an extremely bloody period in the Middle East but nothing we do can make it worse than it's going to be.
Many Iraqis will cheer us in a few weeks but hate us in a year. Completely expected. I think Iraq will be worse off than if we hadn't gone in there. I also think it would be worse off if we didn't go in there. Either way, Iraq will be worse. Iraqi's either get more Saddam or the Middle East gets further destablized. One would think the Kurd/Sunni/Shiite problem in Iraq will be a hotpoint. Iraq, with a large shiite population might tilt towards Islamism rather than Arabism and change the power-structure of the Middle East.
I have many doubts that WE can make the Middle East better. I think we can try and make the Middle East BETTER FOR US. The question for me is what's better for US. I vote "No Saddam".
Our best hope is a constitutional democracy in Iraq. Can it work? No idea. Japan's constitution seems to have worked to the benefit of the West.
Last edited by Colin at Mar 24 2003, 07:44 AM