Well I don't know if the stock market is going up or down, it is impossible to predict.
But I do not that the stock market is extremely overpriced. As of the close on Friday, The Price/Earnings of the S&P 500 is a gigantic 48.75! That means you pay $48.75 for each dollar of earnings.
This number is from Standard & Poor's. They calculated the S&P 500 earnings for the 12 months ending June 2002 as $18.48 per share. Since the price on Friday was 900.96 the PE=900.96/18.48 = 48.75
Check out this article in businessweek:
http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/...21024_6328.htm
It seems that most American companies are STILL trying to fool the investing public by overstating their earnings.