Patience is virtue if you play interest rates
;-)))

While you have out the crystal ball, where do you see the market this year?

Brad, I don't care much about market....it's NOT my money, it's my benefeciaries money,
I let THEM worry about markets
;-)))

My MAIN source of income is...lending money,
therefore, I am much more interested in where the rates go than the markets...

...but if I cared,
I'd say close to unchanged for a year,
with some fireworks inbetween
;-))))

Buy puts on the 10 year.

There is a section on Oprano for Pearls but every now and then a there is a classic

Serge - that's a classic!


p.s. - Just wondering, how much and how soon do you think interest rates will move?

There is a section on Oprano for Pearls but every now and then a there is a classic

Serge - that's a classic!


p.s. - Just wondering, how much and how soon do you think interest rates will move?[/b][/quote]
by summer we gonna see the first increase....after the election year is over, the rate of increase is gonna accelerate.....I see Money Market rate of 4-5% within the next 24 months

by summer we gonna see the first increase....after the election year is over, the rate of increase is gonna accelerate.....I see Money Market rate of 4-5% within the next 24 months[/b][/quote]
damn I hope so.

damn I hope so.[/b][/quote]
Ani, when the fed prints money like there is no tomorrow,
inflation is only logical follow up and inflation = higher interest rates...remember Carter's last months?

I wish I didn't :(

and that is a scary scenario

Ani, when the fed prints money like there is no tomorrow,
inflation is only logical follow up and inflation = higher interest rates...remember Carter's last months?[/b][/quote]
yes, I've always wondered when inflation will hit. That's suppose to me a muthafucker right?


You into futures at all Serge? I have been studing it for years off and on and I'm always drawn to it even though you can have your ass handed to you on a platter in one day if you don't know what the fuck you're doing.



just your thoughts

I am thru with the futures after I bet against Soros about the direction of Brittish Pound..
he made $1,000,000,000 and I lost $5000...
no mkore futures for me, man should know his limitations
;-)))

Ani, when the fed prints money like there is no tomorrow,
inflation is only logical follow up and inflation = higher interest rates...remember Carter's last months?[/b][/quote]
My husband's grandfather got rich during the Carter years with cd's. I would LOVE to see another run on interest like that. I might get rich too.

On a side note, I think banks should be forced by law to keep up with inflation on savings accounts. What a rip, you give your bank your money for them to make more money with and you lose 2.5% a year on it. That really pisses me off because it mainly affects the middle class.

Anybody know of a broker that lets individuals buy currency exchange options?

hmmm...what a big deal? I thought they were traded on Phila....

hmmm...what a big deal? I thought they were traded on Phila....[/b][/quote]
I need a broker to get access though. I am having a tough time getting a broker in Canada that lets individuals trade currency options (only big institutions are allowed to trade it seems)..... do all of the brokers in the US allow this kind of thing?

i highly doubt interest rates will move anything this year in the the election year. Jan 05 is when they'll start moving

I'll bet you $2500 that you are WRONG!

Yeah, I think rates will go up this year also.... maybe even twice. The floodgates won't open until after the election though.

10% correction in the market from here would be nice...I am sitting in CASH up to wazoo
;-)))

Okay - maybe I'm just too "biz" orientated but what does this mean for the PORN businesses - espeically online?

Oh Great Serge of the Crystal Ball share your wisdom :)

MV

There is no biz like the online PORN biz !!

I don't know....I am not in porn business....
;-))))

.ask Luke Ford!
;-)))

I don't know....I am not in porn business....
;-))))

.ask Luke Ford!
;-)))[/b][/quote]
Let me re phrase that -

How is your predictions going to effect the numbers of end users purchasing memberships? Is this going to have a signifcant effect on the amount of disposable income available to our particular target market? And what kind of impact?

http://cyberatlas.internet.com/big_picture...3083001,00.html

Annual Household Income of Adult Site
Visitors, August 2003, U.S.
Under $15k 6.23%
$15-$25k 6.59%
$25-$35k 9.55%
$35-$50k 16.75%
$50-$75k 25.58%
Above $75k 35.30%
Source: Hitwise


Adult Site Visitors by Age, August 2003, U.S.
18-24 13.61%
25-34 19.90%
35-44 25.50%
45-54 20.67%
55+ 20.32%
Source: Hitwise